Diversified Venture Investments Still Beat Public Market Returns
Welcome to the new world where business plans suffer higher scrutiny,
are probed for possible infusion of government capital, are examined for
whether they would displace any US jobs and excruciatingly bracketed
under one of the three areas the government wants to promote - energy,
health care and education. The first thing to note is why someone would
be interested in investing in a venture-financed business at all. One
could argue that, given the current credit conditions, it is harder for
small businesses to survive, as is. But, that is the beauty of
venture-financed businesses. They dont depend on credit for growth and
expansion - they depend on equity investments (which sometimes is so
fortified that they might look like debt instruments) from investors and
high net worth individual, who are adept at measuring and rewarding
relatively higher risks. According to Thomson Reuters and the National
Venture Capital Association (NVCA), the one year all venture Private
Equity Performance Index (PEPI) declined significantly to -20.9%.
Venture returns declined, in fact, across all horizons (3,5 and 10
years) and only the 20 year horizon remained in the black. While, this
may look like a sad tale for the venture capital market, it is worth
noting that the venture returns across all horizons outperformed public
market indices, the NASDAQ and the S&P 500, through December
31,2008. The 20-year all-venture returns are around 17%, whereas the
20-year early seed VC returns are around 21% - the well-entrenched high
risk, high reward position. It is pertinent to note that the 20-year
return for the balanced and the later-stage VCs were the same at 14.5%
each. It is clear from this analysis that investors who can gauge early
stage companies successfully tend to reap better returns. It is in this
context that diversification becomes important.
In a recent
online presentation of opportunities available for VC investment, I was
delighted to find an array of opportunities available out there for
investment. The opportunities ranged from an agro-bio company in the US
to a financial services data provider in vietnam to a cell phone
provider who wants to enhance value-added services in Africa. As with
stock picking, it is important for early stage investors to diversify
their portfolios. Today's business environment is global - the
opportunities to spawn small companies at standardized risk is available
in several countries across the world. More so than ever, several
countries and new markets have understood the importance of leveraging
private equity capital to seed and grow companies.
New portals
such as vator.tv and thefunded.com allow investors to get to know about
opportunities in early stage markets. More such exchanges are in the
making. While the value of being an insider on Sand Hill Road in Menlo
Park, California cannot be underestimated, it is also worthwhile to
understand that diversified investment opportunities are being made
available to more of us. An early-stage/diversely invested asset class
is perhaps a good addition to your investment to your portfolio, given
the prevailing risk-reward situation in the economy.