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At Vator Splash LA 2014, Gross said 'Timing' over team & idea was the No. 1 reason
We’re sorry this video came out so late. But that’s a long story.
Nonetheless, here’s his presentation, which was rated the No. 1 presentation/segment during Splash LA 2014. It’s not surprising. Gross has had amazing success, having funded more than 100 companies inside Idealab. Even Idealab, which launched in 1996, is a success story in itself, having been the first-ever startup incubator formed.
In this Splash Talk, Gross talked about what makes startups successful. He looked at 130 companies, both inside Idealab and out, and ranked them on five criteria – Idea, Team, Timing, Funding and Business Model.
For instance, a company like Overture, which was incubated inside of Idealab and eventually sold to Yahoo, received a 10 on timing and idea, and 7 on team. Airbnb received a 10 on timing and idea, and a 9 on team/execution. But a company like Z.com, a predecessor to YouTube, received 4 on timing. MyLife, a predecessor to Fitbit, received a 2 on timing. Both MyLife and Z.com failed.
After looking at all 130 companies, Gross found that “timing” was the biggest factor affecting success or failure. Team was No. 2 and Idea was No. 3.
Idea and execution matters a ton, but timing seems to matter more, he said using YouTube as an example of a startup well-timed. When YouTube came into existence in 2006, high-speed Internet was mainstream, video cameras were much smaller, and culturally, people were becoming familiar and accepting of user-generated videos. As an example of a product ill-timed, he brought up the product most everyone would agree was a great idea but poorly timed – the Apple Newton, which was around circa ‘90s.
Gross also listed the top 5 factors leading to failure, with the top three being: No market needed, Running out of money, and Not having the right team.
Finally, he stressed the importance of the idea, particularly an idea that no one believes in. Ideas are first ridiculed, then opposed but then become self-evident. A great entrepreneur will not be afraid to go after an idea that is ridiculous.
Splash LA 2015 is around the corner. We already have a great lineup. Check it out here. Register early for Super Early Bird tickets. And if you want to apply to present in the startup competition, apply here.
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