Newspapers are fine; owners aren't

Someone can probably make money in the newspaper biz, just not the current players


Financial trends and news by Bambi Francisco Roizen
February 23, 2009 | Comments (5)
Short URL: http://vator.tv/n/702

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Over the weekend, I watched Marc Andreessen interviewed by Charlie Rose. The Internet pioneer was emphatic about what newspapers should do: Shut down. "You have to kill it... the game is up," he said. I'm torn on this topic. On one hand, I still get The New York Times and Wall Street Journal delivered to my doorstep. I enjoy the ritual of reading while sitting back, particularly on Sundays.

 That said, I've dropped the Barron's paper years ago from my paper reading Sunday ritual. And, my husband just bought the new Kindle, which I'm sure will be a nice way to read the paper, in the future.

But despite the big problems heard at papers like The New York Times and Tribune, not all papers are operating at a loss, according to Ad Age.

That means, there's still time and perhaps opportunity for the more than 1000 of them out there.

Publicly-owned newspapers averaged an operating profit of nearly 11% between the first and third quarters of last year, Ad Age reported. It's not the 21% operating margins they enjoyed in 2006, but it's not a loss.

Ad Age tried to defend the newspaper industry, by saying the papers would have made a profit - if they weren't burdened with debt.

By looking at what Ad Age provided, it appears some companies would have been profitable, excluding the mounting debt and other sundry costs.

Therefore, someone probably can make money in the newspaper business.

I do agree that someone can make money in the newspaper business. It's just not the current newspaper companies. 

From Ad Age: Take a look at Lee Enterprises, which operates papers primarily in midsize markets but reported an $889 million net loss for the 12 months ended Sept. 28. Its loss primarily reflected a huge accounting write-down as the company adjusted its estimated value. It's not that $889 million of cash flowed from the coffers just to make payroll and keep the presses running.

Strip out the accounting charge to look at the real dollars Lee papers collected and spent. Its operating profit for those 12 months topped 20%. That's a better return than Carlos Slim is getting on his 14% loan to The New York Times Co., which finally suspended its dividend payments last week to shore up cash flow.

Lee, moreover, bought itself more time late last week by reaching agreements with lenders to refinance $306 million of debt tied to its 2005 purchase of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. The publisher of the Southern Illinoisan, a Lee paper, used the occasion to distinguish between Lee's finances and his paper's health, telling readers that the refinancing and related moves "quashes ill-considered speculation that Lee's debt obligations could somehow impair the ability of The Southern Illinoisan to continue serving readers and advertisers."

In a similar fashion, McClatchy is freezing pensions and hunting another $100 million in budget cuts. The company, publisher of papers including the Sacramento Bee and the Fort-Worth Star Telegram, is struggling under more than $2 billion in debt, much of which it assumed in 2006 to buy Knight Ridder -- doubling down on newspapers at a cost of $4.6 billion.

But look past the interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and charges such as severance; they matter, but they affect the owner's balance sheet more than they reflect newspapers' viability. McClatchy's underlying newspaper portfolio just delivered a 21.5% operating profit margin.

Gannett profits
The country's biggest newspaper publisher, Gannett, is rolling in layoffs and busily writing down its own estimated value. But excluding one-time charges such as severance and write-downs, its newspapers -- from big markets such as Phoenix to small towns such as Ithaca, N.Y. -- produced an 18% operating profit margin last year.

Scripps is trying to decide whether to sell or shut down the Rocky Mountain News in Denver, which lost $16 million in 2008. But its overall newspaper portfolio, perhaps better typified by the Naples Daily News in Florida, last week reported a 2008 operating profit margin of 9.8%.

Even the newspapers owned by Tribune, which entered Chapter 11 last December because it took on too much debt going private, returned a modest 5.4% operating profit in the first three quarters of last year.

The bigger markets, to be sure, are struggling more. "Smaller markets tend to have relatively high margins because you're more of a quasi-monopoly," said Alexia Quadrani, an analyst at J.P. Morgan. "The New York Times is going to have low margins because of its high expense base. The Boston Globe's margins have deteriorated meaningfully in recent years, just because of the ongoing weakness in that marketplace."

(Image source: observer.com)


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5 comments

Comment_gbg
Fernando Poo, on February 24, 2009
This last election has provided an opportunity for newspapers to regain their market. After all of the biased reporting from newspapers and blogs, it's time that the newspaper industry create a certification for reporters where they are held to standards of fair and unbiased reporting, with a third party leveraged to verify reporter integrity. Truly, the news media needs to make a big deal out of this. <br> When you have things being presented as unbiased (such as FactCheck.org) which are *not*, it creates a desire for people to be able to rely on some outlet which will report accurately. THIS is what will save the papers, and relegate the bloggers and pundits on both sides of the aisle to being little more than interesting commentary. Bloggers and pundits current roles as pseudo-reporters needs to come to an end.

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Bambi Francisco Roizen
Bambi Francisco Roizen, on February 24, 2009
good observation. i do think that newspapers, like The Times, help keep the standards of journalism up. I wouldn't want their type of reporting and writing to go away. The paper may - but I sure hope the writing and investigative reporting doesn't.

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Comment_gbg
Fernando Poo, on February 24, 2009
Ah, but what is now required is an extra step; an outside authority which regular Americans can trust to ensure objectivity. Few educated Americans pretend that either Fox News or NYT are unbiased. I'm sure those who work there are SURE they are unbiased and don't see the slant others perceive, and yet conservatives stomp on the newspapers and television and the liberals laugh at Fox. It would be nice for reporters to be able to stamp "Unbiased Approved" on their articles, whereas bloggers and pundits would not (and should not). Unfortunately what you point out (the distinction between certain articles and investigative reporting) is completely lost on those outside the NYT's realm of influence (such as me in Colorado). Wouldn't it be nice to not have to qualify which part of a paper is unbiased?

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Comment_gbg
Al Yukna, on February 24, 2009
Is it fair to say that a big issue facing newspapers is that they are owned by monolithic "media groups" that are out of touch with local markets? They've become the equivalent of a Clear Channel radio station taking over a local dial number and doing the old "Rock XXX.X in YOUR_TOWN!" In addition to being out of touch with the local market, they must serve the corporate master's political agenda and most intelligent folks can smell a rat, no matter what their political leanings are. This doesn't apply to the "big national" papers by and large, but, I think they have similar organizational barriers.

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Bambi Francisco Roizen
Bambi Francisco Roizen, on February 24, 2009
it's hard to be objective. even the best "unbias" journalists have their opinions.

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